Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.964809 4.599716 5.270923 6.030188 6.862013 7.742548 8.742003
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.942432 3.800604 4.772108 5.939852 7.291917 8.795304 10.580256
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.267781 3.247642 4.429848 5.928972 7.747250 9.850710 12.436855
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.753675 2.783975 4.106008 5.867054 8.092348 10.754926 14.124258
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.491899 2.590834 4.076327 6.135528 8.822127 12.119861 16.382946
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.213639 2.320369 3.899748 6.178037 9.243996 13.099361 18.182802
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.071239 2.221239 3.937051 6.491369 10.011707 14.519680 20.551260
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.937185 2.109064 3.935750 6.737954 10.686502 15.827538 22.797497
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.794468 1.954753 3.849353 6.846717 11.165313 16.881122 24.730580
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.642451 1.752532 3.662117 6.785806 11.393634 17.597124 26.229440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.550960 1.644820 3.611510 6.917971 11.888376 18.670652 28.205976
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.473297 1.547918 3.565772 7.048084 12.376116 19.737226 30.184101
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.367958 1.368174 3.360463 6.918712 12.487889 20.304051 31.528100
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.277565 1.194653 3.142854 6.749847 12.527829 20.766190 32.735692
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.216635 1.074242 3.007822 6.704087 12.745487 21.476481 34.287682
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.164161 0.955759 2.858991 6.620202 12.894797 22.086167 35.705604
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.146745 0.940208 2.919415 6.903616 13.624771 23.542287 38.314899
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.116552 0.867820 2.848674 6.945645 13.969343 24.441907 40.157915
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.107038 0.868553 2.938721 7.283161 14.794979 26.056834 43.023158
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.094791 0.853173 2.989767 7.549037 15.509066 27.516786 45.685920
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.077575 0.807092 2.963285 7.666165 15.980589 28.622788 47.858994
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.056735 0.727854 2.845521 7.600036 16.144084 29.268819 49.382315
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.046266 0.694538 2.836776 7.742830 16.656808 30.443573 51.671999